Sportsbooks spend most of their time and attention on the side and total markets, which leaves the player prop wagers wide open. Although the limits are lower for player props, there is still valuable opportunities to capitalize on the book's indifference.
Over the course of the season, we will look to identify player props that offer low risk and high reward plays. We will do this by looking for middling opportunities between books that have an actionable straddle. You do not need to be a football player projectionist or a fantasy prognosticator to take advantage of player props. You just need to find the value in this niche market.
Last week, we crushed the Derek Carr middle and hit on OJ Howard over 42.5 yards. After finishing the week up $172, +5.04 units for the year, we turn towards NFL Week 4 for more money making opportunities.
Check back later in the week for our NFL Week 4 Prop Plays!
Prop 1: WON
1 Unit: Davante Adams O87.5 Receiving Yards (Points Bet +100)
Maximum Risk: $100
Maximum Reward: $100
Prop 2: VOID
1 Unit: Terry McLaurin O58.5 Receiving Yards (FanDuel -112)
Maximum Risk: 112
Maximum Reward: 100
Note: McLaurin has a hamstring injury which is why this line is so low. It is still not determined whether or not he will play. Friday's practice will be a huge indication of his health. We are jumping on early and, if he does in fact sit, the bet will be voided. Check your book and make sure inactive players are refunded.
UPDATE 9/27/19: McLaurin is not at practice and is being ruled a game time decision. At this point, I'd sit on the play until we get more information.
Prop 3: WON
1 Unit: Will Dissly O41.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings -132)
Maximum Risk: $132
Maximum Reward: $100
Prop 4: lOST
1 Unit: Jacoby Brissett O220.5 Passing Yards (FanDuel +105)
1 Unit: Jacoby Brissett U235.5 Passing Yards (Points Bet -114)
Maximum Risk: $14
Maximum Reward: $205
Comments